Mastering Results for Passenger Transportation on Moscow — St. Petersburg Direction in Crisis 2020-2021

Nikolay Bushuev; Darina Shul&#039;man; Nikolay A. Rochev

doi:10.20295/1815-588X-2023-1-17-27

UDC

656.2.078.87

MASTERING RESULTS FOR PASSENGER TRANSPORTATION ON MOSCOW — ST. PETERSBURG DIRECTION IN CRISIS 2020-2021 Mastering Results for Passenger Transportation on Moscow — St. Petersburg Direction in Crisis 2020-2021

АА Аа

Published in Proceedings of Petersburg Transport University · Pages 17–27 · Rubric: PROBLEMATIC OF TRANSPORT SYSTEM

DOI: https://doi.org/10.20295/1815-588X-2023-1-17-27

Received: 17.03.2023 Accepted: 20.03.2023 Published: 20.03.2023

Authors

Nikolay Bushuev

Darina Shul'man

Nikolay A. Rochev

Nikolay Bushuev

Academic degree: candidate of technical sciences

Science rang: docent

Emperor Alexander I St. Petersburg State Transport University Professor · Russian Federation · St. Petersburg

Darina Shul'man

Academic degree: candidate of technical sciences

Emperor Alexander I Petersburg State Transport University Associate Professor · Russian Federation · Saint-Petersburg

Nikolay A. Rochev

Emperor Alexander I St. Petersburg State Transport University Graduate Student · Russian Federation · St. Petersburg

ABSTRACT

Purpose: To show mastering results for passenger transportation by rail and air kinds of transport on Moscow — St. Petersburg direction including ones at crisis 2020–2021, in particular: to analyze the dynamics of changes in passenger traffic of Sapsan trains and air traffic on Moscow — St. Petersburg route as well as of air passenger traffic of domestic air lines of Pulkovo Airport in pre-Covid, Covid and post-Covid periods; to develop mathematical model for passenger traffic forecast. Methods: Regression analysis. Results: The dynamics of passenger traffic changes of railway and air kinds of transport on Moscow-St. Petersburg direction for 2010 to 2019 period has been shown; mathematical model to forecast passenger traffic of being considered kinds of transport till 2022 has been developed; the tendencies for passenger traffic statistical data changes at Covid and post-Covid periods in comparison with expected (forecasted) values have been studied. Practical significance: Conclusion about the expediency of research continuation on passenger traffic forecast in unstable situation conditions in the country and the world as well as in the conditions of strong concurrence between being considered kinds of transport on Moscow — St. Petersburg direction has been made. The analysis results can be recommended for practical use.

KEYWORDS

Passenger traffic, Covid-19, rail transport, air transport, Moscow — St. Petersburg direction

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Editor-in-chief

Oleg S. Valinskiy

Deputy Editor-in-chief

Dmitry Kurilkin

It@pgups.ru

Science editor

Andrey Evstaf'ev

elt@pgups.ru

Edition

zhurnala P. Redakciya

izvestia@izvestiapgups.org

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Bushuev N. S., Shul'man D. O., Rochev N. A. Mastering Results for Passenger Transportation on Moscow — St. Petersburg Direction in Crisis 2020-2021 // Proceedings of Petersburg Transport University. 2023. no. 1. pp. 17-27. DOI: https://doi.org/10.20295/1815-588X-2023-1-17-27. (Date of access 15.09.2026).

MLA

Nikolay Bushuev, Shul'man D. O., Rochev N. A.. "Mastering Results for Passenger Transportation on Moscow — St. Petersburg Direction in Crisis 2020-2021." Proceedings of Petersburg Transport University 20.1 (2023): 17-27. DOI: https://doi.org/10.20295/1815-588X-2023-1-17-27.

APA

Bushuev N. S., Shul'man D. O., Rochev N. A. (2023). Mastering Results for Passenger Transportation on Moscow — St. Petersburg Direction in Crisis 2020-2021. Proceedings of Petersburg Transport University, 20(1), 17-27. https://doi.org/10.20295/1815-588X-2023-1-17-27

Chicago

Nikolay Bushuev, Shul'man D. O., Rochev N. A.. "Mastering Results for Passenger Transportation on Moscow — St. Petersburg Direction in Crisis 2020-2021." Proceedings of Petersburg Transport University 20, no. 1 (2023): 17-27. https://doi.org/10.20295/1815-588X-2023-1-17-27.

WIKI

{{cite journal | author = Bushuev N. S., Shul'man D. O., Rochev N. A. | title = Mastering Results for Passenger Transportation on Moscow — St. Petersburg Direction in Crisis 2020-2021 | journal = Proceedings of Petersburg Transport University | year = 2023 | volume = 20 | issue = 1 | pages = 17-27 | doi = 10.20295/1815-588X-2023-1-17-27 }}

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MASTERING RESULTS FOR PASSENGER TRANSPORTATION ON MOSCOW — ST. PETERSBURG DIRECTION IN CRISIS 2020-2021 Mastering Results for Passenger Transportation on Moscow — St. Petersburg Direction in Crisis 2020-2021

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